A Multi-Scale TCN with Gated Cross-modal Fusion Approach for Integrated Energy System Load Forecasting
编号:109 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-10-13 11:24:32 浏览:49次 口头报告

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摘要
Integrated Energy Systems (IES), which jointly manage electricity, heating, and cooling within a unified framework, are critical for achieving energy sustainability and operational flexibility. Accurate load forecasting in IES is essential for optimal scheduling, demand-side management, and resilience enhancement. However, the heterogeneous temporal dynamics and complex cross-modal interactions among energy carriers pose significant modeling challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning architecture named Multi-Scale Temporal Convolutional Network with Gated Cross-modal Fusion (MTCN-GCF) for multi-energy load forecasting. The model incorporates a multi-scale TCN encoder to capture fine-to-coarse temporal patterns, a gated fusion mechanism to selectively integrate complementary information across energy forms, and a multi-head channel attention module to enhance feature representation. Experiments conducted on real-world campus-level data from Arizona State University’s Tempe campus demonstrate that MTCN-GCF consistently outperforms baseline models such as standard TCN and LSTM across electricity, cold, and heat load forecasting tasks, achieving significant improvements in MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and R² metrics. These results confirm the effectiveness of multi-scale and cross-modal modeling strategies in enhancing the accuracy and robustness of IES load forecasting.
关键词
Integrated energy system; Deep learning; Multi-Scale temporal convolutional network.
报告人
Kongyun Chen
Master Kunming University of Science and Technology

稿件作者
Jian Wang Kunming University of Science and Technology
Jiajin Yuan Kunming University of Science and Technology
Kongyun Chen Kunming University of Science and Technology
Jieshan Shan Kunming University of Science and Technology
Hongchun Shu Kunming University of Science and Technology
Yiming Han Kunming University of Science and Technology
Huiyuan Nie Yalong River Hdropower Development Company, Ltd.
Xiangyu Tang Yalong River Hdropower Development Company, Ltd.
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    11月07日

    2025

    11月09日

    2025

  • 10月12日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 10月30日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
IEEE西南交通大学IAS学生分会
承办单位
西南交通大学电气工程学院
SPACI车网关系研究室
四川大学电力系统稳定与高压直流输电研究团队
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